Monday, August 14, 2023

SIP vs Fixed Deposit : real world case study from Nepal


Let's consider a real-world case study comparing Systematic Investment Plan (SIP) and Fixed Deposit (FD) in the context of Nepal. Please note that specific interest rates, investment options, and economic conditions can vary, so it's essential to gather the most up-to-date information before making any financial decisions.

Case Study: SIP vs. Fixed Deposit in Nepal

Investor Profile:

  • Name: Rajesh
  • Age: 30
  • Investment Horizon: 5 years
  • Investment Amount: NPR 500,000 (Nepalese Rupees)

Option 1: Systematic Investment Plan (SIP) Rajesh considers investing his money in a mutual fund through a SIP. He chooses a well-performing equity mutual fund with a historical average annual return of around 12% over the past 5 years.

Option 2: Fixed Deposit (FD) Rajesh also considers opening a fixed deposit account with a bank. The bank offers an annual interest rate of 7% for a 5-year FD.

Scenario 1: SIP Performance Assuming the equity mutual fund continues to perform well and provides an average annual return of 12% over the next 5 years, Rajesh's investment could grow as follows:

Initial Investment: NPR 500,000 Expected SIP Return: 12% per year

Year 1: 500,000 * 1.12 = NPR 560,000 Year 2: 560,000 * 1.12 = NPR 627,200 Year 3: 627,200 * 1.12 = NPR 702,464 Year 4: 702,464 * 1.12 = NPR 787,983 Year 5: 787,983 * 1.12 = NPR 885,446

Scenario 2: Fixed Deposit Earnings If Rajesh chooses the fixed deposit option with an annual interest rate of 7%, his investment would grow as follows:

Initial Investment: NPR 500,000 Annual Interest Rate: 7%

Year 1: 500,000 * 0.07 = NPR 35,000 Year 2: (500,000 + 35,000) * 0.07 = NPR 36,450 Year 3: (536,450 + 36,450) * 0.07 = NPR 37,958.50 Year 4: (574,400.50 + 37,958.50) * 0.07 = NPR 39,526.43 Year 5: (612,927.93 + 39,526.43) * 0.07 = NPR 41,155.03

Comparison:

  • After 5 years, the SIP investment could potentially grow to around NPR 885,446, assuming an average annual return of 12%.
  • The fixed deposit investment would have grown to around NPR 612,927.93 at an interest rate of 7%.

In this case, the SIP investment option has the potential to provide higher returns compared to the fixed deposit, given the historical performance of the chosen mutual fund. However, it's important to note that investing in equity mutual funds involves higher risk compared to fixed deposits, which are considered relatively safer investments.

Before making any investment decision, Rajesh should consider his risk tolerance, investment goals, and the current economic conditions in Nepal. He should also be aware that past performance is not a guarantee of future results and that mutual fund investments can be subject to market fluctuations. Consulting with a financial advisor is recommended to make an informed decision tailored to his individual circumstances.

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